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Red35
84015.6
623817.5
397030.4
Blue129
804838.6
182818.8
132365.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions701095010015035129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3970
#13
30.44.0
28.024.1
Auto8.9
Teleop15.7
End5.8
blue by 34.8
65.23.0
54.957.9
Auto16.5
Teleop41.4
End7.4
Second
6238
#33
17.54.0
26.022.1
Auto6.6
Teleop7.5
End3.4
blue by 21.1
38.63.0
28.931.9
Auto11.8
Teleop18.3
End8.4
Third
840
#30
15.64.0
16.512.6
Auto4.8
Teleop5.0
End5.8
blue by 3.1
1828
#31
18.81.8
13.415.2
Auto3.8
Teleop8.5
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed18%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
30%Activation oddsMissed74%Activation oddsEarned