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Red66
10029.2
510419.7
142214.5
Blue68
803340.4
927417.1
671112.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7865020401001206668

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100
#12
29.21.2
24.823.7
Auto9.4
Teleop10.8
End9.1
blue by 11.2
40.40.6
33.434.0
Auto8.4
Teleop23.9
End8.0
Second
5104
#36
19.71.2
24.523.4
Auto6.7
Teleop6.6
End6.4
red by 2.6
9274
#25
17.10.6
16.116.7
Auto6.0
Teleop4.8
End6.3
Third
1422
#17
14.51.2
22.221.0
Auto2.3
Teleop7.0
End5.2
red by 2.3
6711
#29
12.20.6
13.313.9
Auto4.8
Teleop2.2
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed14%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
64%Activation oddsMissed47%Activation oddsMissed