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Red89
473840.1
691819.6
114831.3
Blue125
84015.6
132365.2
777718.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions719302040608012014016089125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.12.2
33.235.3
Auto11.6
Teleop22.7
End5.9
blue by 25.1
65.23.9
57.060.9
Auto16.5
Teleop41.4
End7.4
Second
31.32.2
22.925.0
Auto7.1
Teleop14.5
End9.7
red by 13.1
7777
#21
18.23.9
15.719.6
Auto2.6
Teleop8.9
End6.7
Third
6918
#35
19.62.2
13.615.7
Auto4.4
Teleop8.1
End7.1
red by 4.0
840
#30
15.63.9
11.915.9
Auto4.8
Teleop5.0
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
69%Activation oddsEarned57%Activation oddsEarned