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Red83
440030.3
255136.8
741917.5
Blue117
228822.7
803340.4
630521.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions889005010015020083117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2551
#10
36.80.0
37.937.9
Auto10.4
Teleop18.7
End7.7
blue by 3.6
40.40.4
36.436.9
Auto8.4
Teleop23.9
End8.0
Second
4400
#19
30.30.0
26.526.6
Auto7.5
Teleop16.2
End6.6
red by 7.6
2288
#11
22.70.4
24.825.2
Auto8.2
Teleop8.8
End5.8
Third
7419
#28
17.50.0
18.418.4
Auto7.4
Teleop4.6
End5.4
blue by 3.7
6305
#15
21.20.4
22.923.3
Auto7.5
Teleop10.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed33%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsEarned49%Activation oddsEarned