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Red35
502629.5
777718.2
741917.5
Blue113
927417.1
623817.5
132365.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6482204010012035113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5026
#22
29.53.0
23.320.2
Auto8.0
Teleop16.1
End5.4
blue by 35.8
65.24.2
38.042.2
Auto16.5
Teleop41.4
End7.4
Second
7777
#21
18.23.0
16.813.8
Auto2.6
Teleop8.9
End6.7
red by 0.7
6238
#33
17.54.2
20.224.5
Auto6.6
Teleop7.5
End3.4
Third
7419
#28
17.53.0
22.219.2
Auto7.4
Teleop4.6
End5.4
red by 0.4
9274
#25
17.13.8
17.120.9
Auto6.0
Teleop4.8
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
45%Activation oddsMissed54%Activation oddsEarned