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Red50
666218.7
876825.2
581720.8
Blue107
594052.4
97353.6
440030.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51115010015050107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8768
#14
25.20.6
19.919.3
Auto10.3
Teleop7.1
End7.8
blue by 28.4
973
#2
53.60.5
49.548.9
Auto13.6
Teleop32.3
End7.7
Second
5817
#26
20.80.6
19.518.8
Auto3.9
Teleop8.3
End8.6
blue by 31.6
52.40.9
29.828.9
Auto15.5
Teleop29.6
End7.4
Third
6662
#27
18.70.6
16.315.6
Auto6.4
Teleop6.9
End5.4
blue by 11.6
4400
#19
30.30.9
20.619.8
Auto7.5
Teleop16.2
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
33%Activation oddsMissed68%Activation oddsEarned