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Red149
665722.8
97353.6
132365.2
Blue129
255136.8
397030.4
876825.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1589050200149129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.20.1
64.764.8
Auto16.5
Teleop41.4
End7.4
red by 28.4
2551
#10
36.80.6
37.137.6
Auto10.4
Teleop18.7
End7.7
Second
973
#2
53.60.1
53.053.1
Auto13.6
Teleop32.3
End7.7
red by 23.2
3970
#13
30.40.6
30.631.2
Auto8.9
Teleop15.7
End5.8
Third
6657
#24
22.80.1
22.222.3
Auto8.0
Teleop12.2
End2.5
blue by 2.4
8768
#14
25.20.6
25.426.0
Auto10.3
Teleop7.1
End7.8