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Red114
213521.0
804838.6
594052.4
Blue124
167148.4
803340.4
510419.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1211136080100140160180114124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.40.1
52.552.4
Auto15.5
Teleop29.6
End7.4
red by 4.0
48.40.4
47.748.1
Auto13.3
Teleop26.4
End8.7
Second
38.60.1
38.738.6
Auto11.8
Teleop18.3
End8.4
blue by 1.8
40.40.4
39.840.2
Auto8.4
Teleop23.9
End8.0
Third
2135
#37
21.00.1
21.121.0
Auto2.6
Teleop10.0
End8.4
red by 1.3
5104
#36
19.70.4
19.119.5
Auto6.7
Teleop6.6
End6.4