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Red59
255136.8
397030.4
876825.2
Blue139
167148.4
803340.4
510419.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions981175015020059139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2551
#10
36.80.8
37.636.8
Auto10.4
Teleop18.7
End7.7
blue by 11.5
48.40.6
48.148.7
Auto13.3
Teleop26.4
End8.7
Second
3970
#13
30.40.8
31.230.4
Auto8.9
Teleop15.7
End5.8
blue by 10.0
40.40.6
40.240.7
Auto8.4
Teleop23.9
End8.0
Third
8768
#14
25.20.8
26.025.2
Auto10.3
Teleop7.1
End7.8
red by 5.5
5104
#36
19.70.6
19.520.1
Auto6.7
Teleop6.6
End6.4