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Red112
213521.0
804838.6
594052.4
Blue116
255136.8
397030.4
876825.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1239450150200112116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.40.0
52.152.2
Auto15.5
Teleop29.6
End7.4
red by 15.6
2551
#10
36.80.5
36.537.1
Auto10.4
Teleop18.7
End7.7
Second
38.60.0
38.438.4
Auto11.8
Teleop18.3
End8.4
red by 8.2
3970
#13
30.40.5
30.130.6
Auto8.9
Teleop15.7
End5.8
Third
2135
#37
21.00.0
20.820.8
Auto2.6
Teleop10.0
End8.4
blue by 4.2
8768
#14
25.20.5
24.925.4
Auto10.3
Teleop7.1
End7.8