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Red73
630521.2
502629.5
440030.3
Blue142
167148.4
803340.4
510419.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8211705010015073142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4400
#19
30.30.2
30.530.3
Auto7.5
Teleop16.2
End6.6
blue by 18.0
48.40.5
47.347.7
Auto13.3
Teleop26.4
End8.7
Second
5026
#22
29.50.2
29.729.5
Auto8.0
Teleop16.1
End5.4
blue by 10.9
40.40.5
39.339.8
Auto8.4
Teleop23.9
End8.0
Third
6305
#15
21.20.2
21.321.2
Auto7.5
Teleop10.2
End3.5
red by 1.4
5104
#36
19.70.5
18.619.1
Auto6.7
Teleop6.6
End6.4