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Red76
151527.3
56696.9
447017.9
Blue37
499919.1
395229.9
175912.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60592040801007637

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1515
#15
27.30.7
21.220.5
Auto6.1
Teleop13.7
End7.5
blue by 2.6
3952
#21
29.91.3
22.421.0
Auto12.1
Teleop11.8
End6.1
Second
4470
#26
17.91.0
18.917.9
Auto6.4
Teleop5.7
End5.7
blue by 1.2
4999
#42
19.12.0
18.516.4
Auto4.4
Teleop11.8
End2.9
Third
5669
#44
6.91.0
16.215.2
Auto1.2
Teleop2.3
End3.5
blue by 5.2
1759
#43
12.12.0
14.312.3
Auto3.8
Teleop5.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsMissed53%Activation oddsMissed