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Red102
59731.5
271029.8
29446.3
Blue88
84642.7
70223.9
585714.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9264020408010012014016010288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#17
46.30.5
32.633.1
Auto11.6
Teleop28.3
End6.5
red by 3.6
846
#9
42.72.1
27.129.2
Auto12.7
Teleop24.4
End5.6
Second
597
#18
31.50.8
23.924.7
Auto7.5
Teleop18.7
End5.3
red by 7.6
702
#27
23.92.1
21.123.3
Auto4.2
Teleop13.3
End6.4
Third
2710
#16
29.80.6
26.427.0
Auto8.8
Teleop14.4
End6.6
red by 15.4
5857
#32
14.41.6
15.517.0
Auto3.5
Teleop4.2
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
61%Activation oddsMissed48%Activation oddsEarned