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Red65
271029.8
499919.1
119718.3
Blue118
347334.0
420147.7
166129.4
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions631165010015020065118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2710
#16
29.80.1
28.928.8
Auto8.8
Teleop14.4
End6.6
blue by 17.9
47.70.7
42.543.3
Auto9.1
Teleop30.5
End8.0
Second
4999
#42
19.10.1
17.217.1
Auto4.4
Teleop11.8
End2.9
blue by 14.8
3473
#19
34.00.7
31.732.4
Auto9.7
Teleop18.7
End5.6
Third
1197
#37
18.30.1
19.919.8
Auto4.2
Teleop9.7
End4.5
blue by 11.1
1661
#10
29.40.7
27.928.7
Auto9.4
Teleop13.6
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
35%Activation oddsMissed78%Activation oddsEarned