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Red163
68741.2
386331.2
114840.5
Blue122
447017.9
29446.3
665826.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113824060100140160180163122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#1
41.21.9
36.738.6
Auto8.2
Teleop25.5
End7.4
blue by 5.2
294
#17
46.32.1
41.443.5
Auto11.6
Teleop28.3
End6.5
Second
40.51.9
37.439.3
Auto12.3
Teleop18.7
End9.5
red by 13.6
26.92.1
25.127.2
Auto8.6
Teleop12.4
End5.8
Third
3863
#14
31.21.9
28.130.0
Auto6.8
Teleop17.2
End7.2
red by 13.3
4470
#26
17.93.3
14.017.3
Auto6.4
Teleop5.7
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsEarned15%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned59%Activation oddsEarned