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Red137
519949.7
683325.4
68741.2
Blue105
29446.3
412342.0
145217.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124110050150200250137105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.70.5
49.149.6
Auto11.2
Teleop28.9
End9.5
red by 3.4
294
#17
46.30.1
46.145.9
Auto11.6
Teleop28.3
End6.5
Second
687
#1
41.20.5
40.641.1
Auto8.2
Teleop25.5
End7.4
blue by 0.8
42.00.1
41.741.6
Auto15.9
Teleop17.9
End8.2
Third
6833
#13
25.40.6
24.725.3
Auto8.6
Teleop10.4
End6.4
red by 7.7
1452
#23
17.70.1
17.417.3
Auto6.1
Teleop7.1
End4.5