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Red96
395229.9
665826.9
386331.2
Blue129
585714.4
802040.6
84642.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions921075015096129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3863
#14
31.20.2
31.431.2
Auto6.8
Teleop17.2
End7.2
blue by 11.5
846
#9
42.70.3
43.143.4
Auto12.7
Teleop24.4
End5.6
Second
3952
#21
29.90.2
30.129.9
Auto12.1
Teleop11.8
End6.1
blue by 10.7
40.60.3
41.041.3
Auto11.3
Teleop21.5
End7.8
Third
26.90.2
27.126.9
Auto8.6
Teleop12.4
End5.8
red by 12.5
5857
#32
14.40.2
14.714.9
Auto3.5
Teleop4.2
End6.7