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Red123
519949.7
70223.9
68741.2
Blue107
600031.6
271029.8
59731.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123946080140160180200123107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.70.1
48.648.7
Auto11.2
Teleop28.9
End9.5
red by 18.1
6000
#11
31.60.4
31.431.8
Auto8.8
Teleop13.9
End8.9
Second
687
#1
41.20.1
40.040.1
Auto8.2
Teleop25.5
End7.4
red by 9.7
597
#18
31.50.4
31.331.6
Auto7.5
Teleop18.7
End5.3
Third
702
#27
23.90.2
23.723.9
Auto4.2
Teleop13.3
End6.4
blue by 5.9
2710
#16
29.80.3
29.629.9
Auto8.8
Teleop14.4
End6.6