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Red127
258443.5
420147.7
508930.0
Blue86
386331.2
395229.9
665826.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137875010015020012786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.70.1
48.148.2
Auto9.1
Teleop30.5
End8.0
red by 16.5
3863
#14
31.20.1
31.231.1
Auto6.8
Teleop17.2
End7.2
Second
43.50.1
43.944.0
Auto11.6
Teleop27.3
End4.6
red by 13.6
3952
#21
29.90.1
30.230.2
Auto12.1
Teleop11.8
End6.1
Third
5089
#22
30.00.1
30.430.5
Auto10.3
Teleop13.0
End6.7
red by 3.1
26.90.1
26.926.8
Auto8.6
Teleop12.4
End5.8