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Red105
840443.2
804843.2
682224.1
Blue173
132375.9
581735.3
502650.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10217050150200250105173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8404
#15
43.20.0
39.339.3
Auto10.8
Teleop25.7
End6.6
blue by 32.6
75.91.4
72.774.1
Auto17.6
Teleop48.8
End9.2
Second
8048
#10
43.20.0
42.242.2
Auto13.6
Teleop20.3
End9.4
blue by 7.1
50.31.4
44.746.1
Auto15.0
Teleop28.2
End7.1
Third
6822
#30
24.10.0
23.023.0
Auto11.9
Teleop9.0
End3.2
blue by 11.2
5817
#17
35.31.4
34.435.9
Auto8.4
Teleop19.4
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
25%Sustainability oddsEarned93%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
80%Activation oddsMissed93%Activation oddsEarned