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Qual 472023 Monterey Bay Regional
Red156
425552.2
594065.4
605921.7
Blue116
213527.0
281337.0
397049.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1401126080100120160180200220156116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5940
#2
65.41.6
61.7→63.3
Auto16.8
Teleop38.6
End9.7
red by 15.5
3970
#4
49.90.2
44.7→44.9
Auto12.8
Teleop30.6
End6.4
Second
4255
#12
52.22.4
48.7→51.2
Auto15.7
Teleop29.9
End6.7
red by 15.3
2813
#11
37.00.2
39.4→39.6
Auto10.0
Teleop19.9
End7.1
Third
6059
#21
21.72.4
17.0→19.4
Auto4.2
Teleop11.5
End6.0
blue by 5.3
2135
#23
27.00.2
24.1→24.3
Auto7.8
Teleop11.5
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
45%Sustainability oddsEarned44%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned64%Activation oddsEarned