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Red157
517130.7
19233.6
97167.8
Blue82
183624.2
912536.0
777718.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139725010015020015782

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#3
67.81.4
62.263.6
Auto20.0
Teleop39.6
End8.2
red by 31.8
9125
#28
36.00.4
33.433.8
Auto11.7
Teleop17.4
End7.0
Second
192
#22
33.61.4
33.935.3
Auto13.8
Teleop14.1
End5.4
red by 9.4
1836
#24
24.20.4
25.525.9
Auto8.0
Teleop10.0
End6.1
Third
5171
#27
30.72.1
25.527.6
Auto8.7
Teleop16.2
End5.8
red by 12.5
7777
#32
18.20.4
17.117.5
Auto3.4
Teleop7.3
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
64%Sustainability oddsEarned10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned64%Activation oddsEarned