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Red149
502650.3
213527.0
67044.0
Blue127
425552.2
397049.9
681419.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12613150100150200250149127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.30.6
49.550.1
Auto15.0
Teleop28.2
End7.1
blue by 1.9
4255
#12
52.20.1
52.452.2
Auto15.7
Teleop29.9
End6.7
Second
670
#16
44.00.6
43.243.8
Auto9.6
Teleop28.6
End5.8
blue by 5.8
49.90.1
50.049.9
Auto12.8
Teleop30.6
End6.4
Third
2135
#23
27.00.6
26.226.7
Auto7.8
Teleop11.5
End7.7
red by 7.1
6814
#18
19.90.1
20.019.9
Auto5.2
Teleop8.8
End5.9