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Red186
699818.8
594065.4
132375.9
Blue137
803353.6
97167.8
66826.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions168159100120140180200220240186137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.90.5
74.975.4
Auto17.6
Teleop48.8
End9.2
red by 8.1
971
#3
67.80.5
68.868.2
Auto20.0
Teleop39.6
End8.2
Second
65.40.5
64.465.0
Auto16.8
Teleop38.6
End9.7
red by 11.8
53.60.5
54.654.0
Auto12.1
Teleop34.8
End6.8
Third
6998
#33
18.80.6
17.718.3
Auto6.9
Teleop9.6
End2.3
blue by 7.2
668
#13
26.00.5
26.926.4
Auto6.5
Teleop11.5
End8.0