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Red147
502650.3
213527.0
67044.0
Blue141
840443.2
912536.0
281337.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12612190100110130140150160170147141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.30.4
49.149.5
Auto15.0
Teleop28.2
End7.1
red by 7.1
8404
#15
43.20.6
42.643.2
Auto10.8
Teleop25.7
End6.6
Second
670
#16
44.00.4
42.843.2
Auto9.6
Teleop28.6
End5.8
red by 7.1
2813
#11
37.00.6
36.437.0
Auto10.0
Teleop19.9
End7.1
Third
2135
#23
27.00.4
25.726.2
Auto7.8
Teleop11.5
End7.7
blue by 9.0
9125
#28
36.00.6
35.436.0
Auto11.7
Teleop17.4
End7.0