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Red130
826224.1
167149.2
510434.5
Blue131
85219.1
397049.9
425552.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1121316080100120140160180200130131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.20.2
49.049.2
Auto13.1
Teleop28.9
End7.1
blue by 3.0
4255
#12
52.20.3
52.152.4
Auto15.7
Teleop29.9
End6.7
Second
34.50.2
34.334.5
Auto9.6
Teleop17.3
End7.7
blue by 15.3
49.90.2
49.750.0
Auto12.8
Teleop30.6
End6.4
Third
8262
#14
24.10.2
23.924.1
Auto5.3
Teleop11.3
End7.5
red by 5.0
852
#26
19.10.3
18.819.1
Auto3.4
Teleop10.1
End5.5