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Red179
66826.0
97167.8
803353.6
Blue112
67044.0
213527.0
502650.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165120100150200250179112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#3
67.80.4
68.368.8
Auto20.0
Teleop39.6
End8.2
red by 17.5
50.30.1
49.249.1
Auto15.0
Teleop28.2
End7.1
Second
53.60.4
54.154.6
Auto12.1
Teleop34.8
End6.8
red by 9.6
670
#16
44.00.1
42.942.8
Auto9.6
Teleop28.6
End5.8
Third
668
#13
26.00.4
26.526.9
Auto6.5
Teleop11.5
End8.0
blue by 1.0
2135
#23
27.00.1
25.925.7
Auto7.8
Teleop11.5
End7.7