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Red141
85219.1
397049.9
425552.2
Blue150
67044.0
213527.0
502650.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12612390100110130140150160141150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4255
#12
52.20.6
51.351.8
Auto15.7
Teleop29.9
End6.7
red by 1.9
50.30.8
48.449.2
Auto15.0
Teleop28.2
End7.1
Second
49.90.5
49.049.5
Auto12.8
Teleop30.6
End6.4
red by 5.8
670
#16
44.00.8
42.242.9
Auto9.6
Teleop28.6
End5.8
Third
852
#26
19.10.6
18.018.5
Auto3.4
Teleop10.1
End5.5
blue by 7.9
2135
#23
27.00.8
25.125.9
Auto7.8
Teleop11.5
End7.7