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Red147
281337.0
912536.0
840443.2
Blue91
688427.1
19233.6
248638.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1221045015020014791

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8404
#15
43.20.8
41.942.6
Auto10.8
Teleop25.7
End6.6
red by 5.0
38.20.3
38.538.2
Auto10.6
Teleop19.2
End8.6
Second
2813
#11
37.00.8
35.636.4
Auto10.0
Teleop19.9
End7.1
red by 3.4
192
#22
33.60.3
33.933.6
Auto13.8
Teleop14.1
End5.4
Third
9125
#28
36.00.8
34.735.4
Auto11.7
Teleop17.4
End7.0
red by 8.9
6884
#29
27.10.3
27.527.1
Auto7.9
Teleop11.6
End7.6