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Qual 172023 Orange County Regional
Red27
40196.3
414118.7
704222.5
Blue149
427624.9
116030.1
715753.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4877020406010012014027149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7042
#30
22.52.4
21.3→18.9
Auto9.7
Teleop8.3
End4.4
blue by 31.4
7157
#2
53.95.1
27.9→33.0
Auto10.3
Teleop37.5
End5.9
Second
4141
#38
18.72.4
14.5→12.0
Auto5.3
Teleop7.7
End5.7
blue by 11.4
1160
#18
30.15.1
22.1→27.3
Auto9.9
Teleop13.4
End6.8
Third
4019
#45Sur
6.32.4
12.9→10.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.1
End3.4
blue by 18.6
4276
#27Sur
24.95.1
18.7→23.8
Auto7.1
Teleop10.7
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
18%Activation oddsMissed23%Activation oddsMissed