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Qual 182023 Orange County Regional
Red135
395222.4
432239.7
347647.4
Blue43
329517.3
498415.1
585715.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8347020406010012014013543

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3476
#4
47.44.6
33.3→37.9
Auto14.3
Teleop23.6
End9.5
red by 30.2
3295
#23Sur
17.31.2
14.5→13.3
Auto5.0
Teleop4.1
End8.2
Second
4322
#1
39.74.6
24.6→29.2
Auto8.9
Teleop20.2
End10.6
red by 24.2
5857
#42
15.51.2
17.4→16.2
Auto2.3
Teleop5.6
End7.5
Third
3952
#35Sur
22.44.6
15.4→20.1
Auto9.3
Teleop6.6
End6.5
red by 7.3
4984
#43
15.11.2
16.9→15.7
Auto4.2
Teleop6.0
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
74%Activation oddsEarned36%Activation oddsMissed