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Qual 192023 Orange County Regional
Red104
744719.4
153847.9
33099.1
Blue59
583516.9
513711.7
441539.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7766204010012014010459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#6
47.93.7
29.3→33.0
Auto10.6
Teleop29.5
End7.8
red by 8.8
4415
#12
39.11.6
28.6→27.0
Auto10.0
Teleop20.6
End8.5
Second
7447
#11
19.43.7
20.1→23.8
Auto5.7
Teleop5.8
End7.9
red by 2.5
5835
#32
16.91.6
16.1→14.5
Auto2.0
Teleop8.7
End6.2
Third
3309
#47
9.13.7
21.5→25.2
Auto3.0
Teleop3.5
End2.6
blue by 2.6
5137
#46
11.71.6
18.4→16.8
Auto2.6
Teleop7.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
34%Activation oddsEarned42%Activation oddsMissed