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Red70
927124.9
723016.4
649917.0
Blue60
81210.9
401421.2
407921.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5957405070807060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9271
#15
24.90.6
17.718.3
Auto7.0
Teleop10.0
End8.0
red by 3.6
4079
#39
21.43.0
15.011.9
Auto4.3
Teleop10.1
End7.0
Second
6499
#29
17.00.6
20.120.6
Auto4.5
Teleop6.2
End6.3
blue by 4.2
21.23.0
24.121.0
Auto6.7
Teleop10.2
End4.4
Third
7230
#24
16.40.6
17.217.8
Auto5.0
Teleop3.2
End8.1
red by 5.5
812
#44
10.93.0
14.411.3
Auto3.8
Teleop3.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
40%Activation oddsEarned34%Activation oddsMissed