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Red42
407921.4
649917.0
580512.9
Blue70
622027.2
713726.1
513711.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4458020801004270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4079
#39
21.40.1
14.514.4
Auto4.3
Teleop10.1
End7.0
blue by 5.9
6220
#19
27.21.4
17.819.2
Auto7.5
Teleop9.6
End10.1
Second
6499
#29
17.00.1
16.216.1
Auto4.5
Teleop6.2
End6.3
blue by 9.1
26.11.4
18.620.0
Auto9.0
Teleop9.7
End7.4
Third
5805
#41
12.90.1
12.312.2
Auto4.5
Teleop5.9
End2.5
red by 1.1
5137
#46
11.71.4
16.017.4
Auto2.6
Teleop7.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
37%Activation oddsMissed29%Activation oddsEarned