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Red122
715753.9
188414.8
461918.5
Blue109
441539.1
927124.9
412330.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7175406080100120122109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.95.6
36.241.8
Auto10.3
Teleop37.5
End5.9
red by 14.8
4415
#12
39.13.8
29.233.0
Auto10.0
Teleop20.6
End8.5
Second
4619
#34
18.55.6
12.417.9
Auto5.5
Teleop9.1
End3.9
blue by 12.1
30.63.8
22.126.0
Auto13.3
Teleop10.0
End7.3
Third
1884
#17
14.85.6
18.423.9
Auto3.1
Teleop8.1
End3.6
blue by 10.1
9271
#15
24.93.8
18.222.0
Auto7.0
Teleop10.0
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
42%Activation oddsEarned65%Activation oddsEarned