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Red65
432239.7
302011.1
583516.9
Blue48
395222.4
461918.5
81210.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565620304050607080906548

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.71.4
19.921.4
Auto8.9
Teleop20.2
End10.6
red by 17.3
3952
#35
22.42.2
18.416.2
Auto9.3
Teleop6.6
End6.5
Second
5835
#32
16.91.4
16.017.5
Auto2.0
Teleop8.7
End6.2
blue by 1.5
4619
#34
18.52.2
15.713.5
Auto5.5
Teleop9.1
End3.9
Third
3020
#37
11.11.4
16.217.6
Auto3.6
Teleop4.9
End2.5
red by 0.2
812
#44
10.92.2
18.616.4
Auto3.8
Teleop3.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsEarned38%Activation oddsMissed