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Red107
401421.2
116030.1
153847.9
Blue48
656035.9
350115.6
40196.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions726702040608010012014016010748

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.93.9
26.830.7
Auto10.6
Teleop29.5
End7.8
red by 11.9
6560
#21
35.91.8
28.426.6
Auto11.5
Teleop19.0
End5.5
Second
1160
#18
30.13.9
22.226.1
Auto9.9
Teleop13.4
End6.8
red by 14.5
3501
#36
15.61.8
19.417.7
Auto5.7
Teleop3.6
End6.3
Third
21.23.9
18.222.1
Auto6.7
Teleop10.2
End4.4
red by 15.0
4019
#45
6.31.8
16.114.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
48%Activation oddsMissed46%Activation oddsMissed