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Qual 532023 Orange County Regional
Red70
407921.4
96823.9
583516.9
Blue72
412330.6
704222.5
418320.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions457302060801001201407072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
968
#20
23.92.7
16.3→19.0
Auto7.2
Teleop10.8
End5.9
blue by 6.7
4123
#7
30.60.7
29.7→30.5
Auto13.3
Teleop10.0
End7.3
Second
4079
#39
21.42.7
16.1→18.8
Auto4.3
Teleop10.1
End7.0
blue by 1.1
7042
#30
22.50.7
17.2→18.0
Auto9.7
Teleop8.3
End4.4
Third
5835
#32
16.92.7
13.3→16.0
Auto2.0
Teleop8.7
End6.2
blue by 3.7
4183
#31
20.60.7
18.4→19.1
Auto6.9
Teleop5.9
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
70%Activation oddsEarned36%Activation oddsEarned