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Red48
461918.5
427624.9
498415.1
Blue84
350115.6
153847.9
414118.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions618320401001201404884

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4276
#27
24.91.9
22.720.8
Auto7.1
Teleop10.7
End7.0
blue by 23.0
47.91.0
40.741.7
Auto10.6
Teleop29.5
End7.8
Second
4619
#34
18.51.9
19.717.8
Auto5.5
Teleop9.1
End3.9
blue by 0.3
4141
#38
18.71.0
17.618.6
Auto5.3
Teleop7.7
End5.7
Third
4984
#43
15.11.9
17.415.5
Auto4.2
Teleop6.0
End4.9
blue by 0.5
3501
#36
15.61.0
16.717.7
Auto5.7
Teleop3.6
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsMissed65%Activation oddsEarned