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Red129
723016.4
715753.9
519944.7
Blue94
546125.1
395222.4
656035.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111725010015020012994

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.91.6
45.547.1
Auto10.3
Teleop37.5
End5.9
red by 17.9
6560
#21
35.91.9
31.733.6
Auto11.5
Teleop19.0
End5.5
Second
5199
#10
44.71.6
38.239.8
Auto8.6
Teleop26.3
End9.7
red by 19.7
5461
#14
25.11.9
19.321.1
Auto8.5
Teleop9.2
End7.3
Third
7230
#24
16.41.5
15.817.3
Auto5.0
Teleop3.2
End8.1
blue by 6.0
3952
#35
22.41.9
21.223.1
Auto9.3
Teleop6.6
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
69%Activation oddsEarned53%Activation oddsEarned