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Red99
153847.9
86712.7
704222.5
Blue93
585715.5
98748.9
414118.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80840501001502002509993

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.92.1
44.746.7
Auto10.6
Teleop29.5
End7.8
blue by 1.1
987
#3
48.90.4
45.145.5
Auto16.6
Teleop25.3
End7.0
Second
7042
#30
22.52.1
20.422.5
Auto9.7
Teleop8.3
End4.4
red by 3.7
4141
#38
18.70.4
18.318.7
Auto5.3
Teleop7.7
End5.7
Third
867
#33
12.72.1
10.612.7
Auto3.1
Teleop4.2
End5.5
blue by 2.8
5857
#42
15.50.4
15.115.5
Auto2.3
Teleop5.6
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed14%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
55%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsMissed