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Red38
329517.3
40196.3
580512.9
Blue85
407921.4
427624.9
395222.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions356902060801001203885

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3295
#23
17.30.4
17.617.3
Auto5.0
Teleop4.1
End8.2
blue by 7.6
4276
#27
24.91.6
20.221.8
Auto7.1
Teleop10.7
End7.0
Second
5805
#41
12.90.4
13.312.9
Auto4.5
Teleop5.9
End2.5
blue by 9.5
3952
#35
22.41.6
20.822.4
Auto9.3
Teleop6.6
End6.5
Third
4019
#45
6.30.4
6.66.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.1
End3.4
blue by 15.1
4079
#39
21.41.7
19.621.4
Auto4.3
Teleop10.1
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
25%Activation oddsMissed45%Activation oddsEarned