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Red101
432239.7
153847.9
418320.6
Blue39
188414.8
744719.4
401421.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12155010015010139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.90.4
46.746.4
Auto10.6
Teleop29.5
End7.8
red by 26.6
21.21.0
22.821.8
Auto6.7
Teleop10.2
End4.4
Second
39.70.4
38.538.1
Auto8.9
Teleop20.2
End10.6
red by 20.2
7447
#11
19.41.0
21.020.0
Auto5.7
Teleop5.8
End7.9
Third
4183
#31
20.60.4
19.519.1
Auto6.9
Teleop5.9
End7.8
red by 5.8
1884
#17
14.81.0
16.415.4
Auto3.1
Teleop8.1
End3.6