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Red97
656035.9
622027.2
347647.4
Blue113
96823.9
116030.1
713726.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12075406010014016018097113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.40.4
46.145.7
Auto14.3
Teleop23.6
End9.5
red by 17.3
1160
#18
30.10.6
28.829.4
Auto9.9
Teleop13.4
End6.8
Second
6560
#21
35.90.4
34.634.2
Auto11.5
Teleop19.0
End5.5
red by 9.8
26.10.6
24.825.4
Auto9.0
Teleop9.7
End7.4
Third
6220
#19
27.20.4
25.925.5
Auto7.5
Teleop9.6
End10.1
red by 3.4
968
#20
23.90.6
22.623.2
Auto7.2
Teleop10.8
End5.9