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Red110
157223.6
246527.7
97349.4
Blue120
29432.6
603647.9
386322.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106100406080120140160180110120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#11
49.40.9
49.050.0
Auto13.8
Teleop27.7
End8.1
red by 1.5
47.92.1
42.945.0
Auto13.7
Teleop25.1
End9.1
Second
2465
#14
27.70.9
26.727.7
Auto10.7
Teleop10.5
End6.5
blue by 4.9
294
#6
32.62.1
31.133.2
Auto8.6
Teleop18.7
End5.3
Third
1572
#27
23.60.9
22.723.6
Auto6.2
Teleop10.5
End7.0
red by 1.3
3863
#13
22.32.1
20.222.3
Auto4.2
Teleop12.0
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed13%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
76%Activation oddsEarned84%Activation oddsEarned