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Red60
420135.7
312827.3
88919.2
Blue137
166115.7
325546.3
167863.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions751425010020060137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.72.0
38.336.3
Auto6.5
Teleop21.5
End7.7
blue by 27.5
63.20.5
63.564.0
Auto12.6
Teleop41.1
End9.6
Second
3128
#21
27.32.0
29.827.9
Auto7.2
Teleop14.3
End5.8
blue by 18.9
46.30.6
46.346.9
Auto11.2
Teleop26.8
End8.2
Third
8891
#42
9.21.8
11.09.2
Auto0.1
Teleop6.9
End2.2
blue by 6.5
1661
#39
15.70.6
15.015.7
Auto2.5
Teleop7.4
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed37%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
57%Activation oddsMissed93%Activation oddsEarned