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Red113
325546.3
418.9
97349.4
Blue142
441450.6
167863.2
69626.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11616050100200250113142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#11
49.40.0
49.449.4
Auto13.8
Teleop27.7
End8.1
blue by 13.8
63.20.3
64.263.9
Auto12.6
Teleop41.1
End9.6
Second
46.30.0
46.346.3
Auto11.2
Teleop26.8
End8.2
blue by 4.3
50.60.3
51.751.4
Auto11.0
Teleop32.6
End6.9
Third
4
#26
18.90.0
18.918.9
Auto6.7
Teleop7.7
End4.4
blue by 8.0
696
#28
26.80.3
28.027.7
Auto7.1
Teleop12.2
End7.6