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Red100
49824.3
508926.6
364737.3
Blue138
603647.9
385922.8
448142.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9011950100150200100138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3647
#18
37.30.3
37.437.6
Auto10.6
Teleop20.7
End5.9
blue by 10.6
47.90.5
46.146.6
Auto13.7
Teleop25.1
End9.1
Second
5089
#12
26.60.3
26.727.0
Auto8.1
Teleop10.7
End7.8
blue by 15.9
42.50.5
40.741.2
Auto9.5
Teleop26.7
End6.5
Third
498
#24
24.30.3
24.424.6
Auto6.8
Teleop10.1
End7.3
red by 1.4
3859
#25
22.80.5
21.021.5
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End9.7