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Red173
441934.0
97357.7
153857.2
Blue111
473849.4
59943.8
414127.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1621256080100140180200220173111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#1
57.70.5
57.357.7
Auto13.8
Teleop34.6
End9.1
red by 8.3
49.40.3
50.049.8
Auto12.7
Teleop30.0
End6.7
Second
57.20.5
56.857.3
Auto13.4
Teleop35.0
End8.9
red by 13.4
599
#2
43.80.3
44.544.2
Auto11.5
Teleop25.5
End6.8
Third
4419
#24
34.00.6
33.534.1
Auto9.4
Teleop16.7
End8.0
red by 7.0
4141
#18
27.10.3
27.727.5
Auto6.8
Teleop13.2
End7.0