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Red34
887015.8
70222.0
265821.6
Blue100
210233.0
298418.3
416031.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions647030405060809010011034100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
702
#42
22.01.8
22.120.3
Auto4.2
Teleop11.3
End6.6
blue by 10.9
2102
#23
33.02.0
28.130.1
Auto9.9
Teleop16.0
End7.1
Second
2658
#34
21.63.0
21.318.4
Auto5.9
Teleop10.0
End5.8
blue by 10.2
4160
#16
31.82.3
18.821.0
Auto7.1
Teleop17.2
End7.6
Third
8870
#41
15.83.0
17.414.4
Auto3.6
Teleop7.4
End4.8
blue by 2.6
2984
#44
18.33.4
17.821.1
Auto5.7
Teleop7.9
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
45%Activation oddsMissed60%Activation oddsEarned